The National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) has forecast a noticeable shift in weather conditions across the United Arab Emirates, as multiple pressure systems interact over the region. Residents can expect cooler temperatures, periods of high humidity, strengthening winds, and increasingly rough sea conditions over several days, affecting both land and marine environments.
According to the forecast, the evolving weather pattern is being shaped by the interaction of a weak surface low-pressure system extending from the east, a high-pressure system advancing from the west, and a weak upper-air low-pressure system. Together, these systems are creating unstable atmospheric conditions that will influence temperatures, cloud cover, wind strength, and sea states across the country.
This combination is typical during transitional winter periods, when contrasting air masses converge and trigger rapid changes in weather over short spans of time.
Atmospheric Systems Driving the Change
Meteorologists have explained that the overlapping pressure systems are responsible for fluctuating conditions being observed across the UAE. The surface low-pressure system encourages moisture movement and cloud formation, while the high-pressure system introduces cooler, denser air. Meanwhile, the upper-air low adds instability, increasing the likelihood of wind surges and humidity variations.
As these systems interact, residents may experience alternating periods of calm and active weather. Temperatures are expected to dip slightly, especially during nighttime and early morning hours, while daytime conditions remain relatively mild.
This dynamic setup also contributes to variable wind directions, which play a key role in changing sea conditions and visibility levels, particularly along coastal and island areas.
Weather Conditions for January 12
On January 12, weather conditions are expected to remain generally fair to partly cloudy across most parts of the UAE. Low clouds may develop over island regions and parts of the north and east, particularly during the night and early morning.
Humidity levels are forecast to increase overnight, especially in coastal and internal areas. This rise in moisture may lead to the formation of fog or mist in some locations, reducing visibility during early commuting hours. Motorists are advised to remain cautious, particularly on highways and open roads where fog tends to form quickly.
Winds during this period are expected to remain relatively light to moderate, offering brief periods of stability before stronger conditions develop later in the week.
January 13 Brings Stronger Winds and Persistent Humidity
Conditions on January 13 are forecast to closely resemble the previous day, with fair to partly cloudy skies continuing across the country. However, humidity is expected to remain elevated during the early morning hours, maintaining the possibility of fog or mist formation in coastal and inland regions.
A notable change on this day will be the strengthening of winds. Winds are forecast to blow from southeasterly to northeasterly directions, occasionally becoming stronger and reaching speeds of up to 35 kilometers per hour. These gusts may cause blowing dust in exposed areas and slightly rough conditions at sea.
Outdoor activities, particularly those involving light structures or open spaces, may be affected by sudden wind bursts, especially during the afternoon hours.
Increased Wind Activity Expected on January 14
By January 14, weather conditions are expected to become more active. Humidity levels are forecast to rise again during nighttime and early morning hours, particularly in western regions of the country. Under these conditions, mist formation remains possible, especially before sunrise.
Winds are expected to shift gradually from southeasterly to north-westerly directions and become stronger at times. Gusts may reach speeds of up to 40 kilometers per hour, increasing the likelihood of dust movement inland and rougher conditions along the coast.
This shift in wind direction is also a key factor behind the deteriorating marine conditions expected during this period.
Marine Conditions Turn Rough to Very Rough
Marine forecasts indicate a significant change in sea conditions as the week progresses. In the Arabian Gulf, seas are expected to become rough to very rough, driven by strong north-westerly winds. These conditions may pose challenges for small vessels, fishing boats, and recreational marine activities.
In the Oman Sea, conditions are expected to range from moderate to rough, with wave heights increasing as wind speeds pick up. Mariners are urged to remain alert, follow official advisories, and avoid venturing into open waters during peak wind periods.
Coastal residents may also notice stronger waves and choppier waters along shorelines, particularly during high tide and windy intervals.
Impact on Daily Life and Travel
The combination of fog, strong winds, and rough seas may have noticeable effects on daily routines across the UAE. Reduced visibility during early morning hours could slow traffic and increase the risk of accidents, especially on roads connecting coastal and inland areas.
Air quality may also fluctuate due to blowing dust in open and desert regions during windy periods. People with respiratory sensitivities are advised to take precautions when outdoors.
For those planning outdoor events or marine activities, staying informed about the latest weather updates is essential, as conditions may change rapidly due to the ongoing interaction of pressure systems.
What to Expect in the Coming Days
Overall, the forecast reflects a classic winter transition pattern for the UAE, where cooler air, moisture, and wind interact to create shifting weather conditions. While temperatures are not expected to drop sharply, the combination of humidity and wind may make conditions feel cooler, particularly during evenings and early mornings.
Authorities continue to monitor the evolving systems and advise residents to stay updated through official weather bulletins. As the pressure systems move and weaken, conditions are expected to gradually stabilize, though intermittent changes may persist in the short term.
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